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FP: 6 Wrong Lessons for Taiwan from the War in Ukraine 
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作者/Author(s): Franz-Stefan Gady 

原文來源/Source: Foreign Policy 

日期/Date: 11/02/2022 

主題/Key Topics : Defense, Technology, Cyber-operations 


摘要：
安全專家分析俄烏戰爭情勢，為台灣制定了防禦戰略，以防止台海發生軍事衝突。各方面教訓很多，本文探討了台灣應該注意的基本原則。
  • 現代化的武器裝備並沒有扭轉戰局。相反，訓練、創新的作戰行動概念和組織良好的戰爭計劃，才能夠有效整合各種系統的聯合兵種作戰。 
  • 防守方必須保持反擊能力，透過進攻收復失地。在聯合兵種行動中表現更好的人將更有可能取得成功。
  • 現成的商業技術不會在大國戰爭中發揮重要作用，而科技公司只有在安全的情況下才能提供幫助。台灣和美國應該為未來的衝突採購正確的系統。 
  • 進攻性網路行動在現代戰爭中發揮著相當大的作用，新的軍事理論應考慮網路行動對軍隊的破壞性。 
  • 陸基火砲在戰爭中仍然發揮著重要作用，因為它們提供更好的保護和火力，但如果能與現代系統結合使用的話會更有效。 
  • 陸基火砲在戰爭中仍然發揮著重要作用，因為它們提供更好的保護和火力，但如果能與現代系統結合使用的話會更有效。 
 
Summary: 
Security experts analyzed the Russo-Ukraine War to draw a defense strategy for Taiwan to prevent a military conflict across the Taiwan Strait. There have been many lessons from various sources, and this article explores the fundamental lessons that Taiwan should note. 
  • Modern weaponry did not turn the tide of the war. Instead, training, innovative combat operation concepts, and a well-organized war plan allow combined arms operations that integrate various systems effectively.  
  • The defensive side must maintain the offensive capability for counterattacks and regain lost territories. The actor that performs better in combined arms operations will be more likely to succeed. 
  • Readily available commercial technology will not play a significant role in a great-power war, and tech companies can only assist when located in safe countries. Taiwan and the US should procure the correct systems for future conflicts. 
  • Offensive cyber operations play a considerable role in modern war, and new military doctrines should consider the disruptive nature of cyber operations on the military. 
  • Ground-based artillery still plays a significant role in a war because they offer better protection and firepower, but it can be more effective when combined with modern systems. 
  • NATO training or command philosophy is not superior to Russian or Chinese military thinking. Instead, military planners must scrutinize the Ukrainian war objectively and relentlessly.  
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