可疑的合作夥伴關係
- 和俄羅斯一樣,大多數中國企業也依賴西方技術,容易受到西方制裁的影響。因此,大多數中國企業不太願意與俄羅斯進行貿易。
- 雖然中國與俄羅斯建立了 「無上限」的夥伴關係,但中國對與其他國家分享敏感技術持謹慎態度。同樣,由於中國公司與北京政府關係密切,俄羅斯懷疑中國技術可能對國家安全構成威脅。
- 中國也因為西方的出口管制,難以生產尖端技術。與西方技術相比,它的產品有時需要改進或提升。
- 因此,雖然成本較為高昂,交付時間也長,俄羅斯還是傾向於尋找全球中介商來確保其接觸西方技術的管道。
- 西方越是孤立俄羅斯,俄羅斯就越會向中國靠攏,越會依賴中國的技術。雖然這種轉變還很遙遠,但中國是供應西方技術的重要中間人。當中國技術與能趕上西方時,俄羅斯就能戒除對西方技術的依賴,但這不會很快發生。
阻止技術流失
- 西方要保持其技術領導地位,防止其技術被專制政權用來壓制公民自由至關重要。因此,西方必須做更多工作,對科技公司進行問責。
- 西方必須確保其科技公司具有透明性,有明確的道德業務界限,並依據國家利益行事。
- 西方應該要求其公司參與政府努力,有效破壞俄羅斯的技術供應鏈。
Suspicious Partnership
- Like Russia, most Chinese companies also rely on Western technologies and are prone to Western sanctions. Therefore, most Chinese companies are reluctant to trade with Russia.
- Despite a "no limit" partnership with Russia, China is wary of sharing sensitive technologies with other states. Similarly, Russia suspects Chinese technologies may pose national security threats due to close links between Chinese companies and the Beijing government.
- China also struggled to produce frontier technologies due to Western export controls. Its products sometimes need to be improved or improved compared to Western technologies.
- Therefore, Russia looked for global intermediaries to secure its access to Western technologies, although it was more costly and took longer to deliver.
- The more the West isolates Russia, the more Russia will go closer to China and rely on Chinese technology. Although the transition is still far off, China is a valuable middleman for supplying Western technology. When Chinese technology is on par with its Western counterparts, Russia can cut its addiction to Western technology, but it will not occur soon.
Stopping the flow
- It is crucial for the West to maintain its technological leadership and prevent its technology from being used by authoritarian regimes to suppress civil liberties. Therefore, the West must do more to hold its technology companies accountable.
- The West must ensure its technology firms are transparent, have clear ethical business boundaries, and act according to national interests.
- The West should ask its companies to participate in the government's effort to identify and disrupt the technological supply chain.